The generally accepted theory is that financial markets tend towards equilibrium, and on the whole, discount the future correctly. I operate using a different theory, according to which financial markets cannot possibly discount the future correctly because they do not merely discount the future; they help to shape it.
In certain circumstances, financial markets can affect the so-called fundamentals which they are supposed to reflect. When that happens, markets enter into a state of dynamic disequilibrium and behave quite differently from what would be considered normal by the theory of efficient markets. Such boom/bust sequences do not arise very often, but when they do, they can be very disruptive, exactly because they affect the fundamentals of the economy. . . .
(George Soros, MIT Department of Economics World Economy Laboratory Conference, Washington, D.C., April 26, 1994)
10 意見:
佢地可能係股神...大隱隱於市ar~~~
驚驚... 家陣仲成籮蟹呀...
丫車，大早已經係咁啦
嗰兩個收碟既清潔阿嬸係咪新移民? 新移民比香港本土人士較有冒險精神, 佢哋好鍾意炒股票. 近年, 打電話問財經演員投資股票問題的, 好多都帶有鄉音.
但係哩次幾千點的升浪我身邊一大半親友都冇捉到喎！亦係總揸住現金未曾入市。同埋啲低息(２厘幾)人債都超額認購...
小女子愚見係個市有調整冇大跌，學曾sir話齋行3步退2步咁囉！(至少目前係咁)
篤：
此隠．．．我輩不能理解也
cm:
仲係蟹？個市真係升左既喎．．．你究竟買左啲咩呀？！
薯：
唔係喎，之前我係聽到啲師奶講股經．．．但根據我理解，師奶其實都幾有錢．．．但大家樂做清潔，最多咪五千蚊人工？點解都仲可以有錢買股票咁厲害呢？
匿：
係咪新移民我真係唔知．．．
花：
同意係上三步落兩步，但同時當全民參與，呢個「上三步落兩步」又可以玩到幾時呢？呢個先係關鍵
我做人好鍾意抽人後腿既，呢排睇番啲財演寫既書，其中不乏响零六、零七已經話股市位高勢危，叫人避開既言論；坦白講，佢地冇錯，但就錯左過最勁既升勢．．．
零六、零七已經話股市位高勢危
>>>>仕何人o甘講都一定arm, 因為總會中一次 !!只不過等一兩年之後, 有鬼用咩...
>>我做人好鍾意抽人後腿既，呢排睇番啲財演寫既書，其中不乏响零六、零七已經話股市位高勢危，叫人避開既言論；坦白講，佢地冇錯，但就錯左過最勁既升勢．．．
The generally accepted theory is that financial markets tend towards equilibrium, and on the whole, discount the future correctly. I operate using a different theory, according to which financial markets cannot possibly discount the future correctly because they do not merely discount the future; they help to shape it.
In certain circumstances, financial markets can affect the so-called fundamentals which they are supposed to reflect. When that happens, markets enter into a state of dynamic disequilibrium and behave quite differently from what would be considered normal by the theory of efficient markets. Such boom/bust sequences do not arise very often, but when they do, they can be very disruptive, exactly because they affect the fundamentals of the economy. . . .
(George Soros, MIT Department of Economics World Economy Laboratory Conference, Washington, D.C., April 26, 1994)
調整一定有, 最重要上對車!
篤及匿名北，
係，我都覺得財演講既呢「阿媽係女人」既說法，要自己小心去screen
而家我覺得用滑浪既方式比較合理（即係，等浪既出現．．．而唔好估浪頂／底）
富媽：
調整，定係大勢變向下先．．．又，我覺得timing緊要啲喎．．．
張貼意見